Cup
Cup Russia
01.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Lokomotiv - FC Orenburg

Russia Futbol
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
2 : 1
Finished
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lokomotiv - FC Orenburg 1 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lokomotiv.

Line favourite market consensus: Lokomotiv. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.74 / 2 7.85
  • 1X2 market: Lokomotiv 71.1% / X 16.7% / FC Orenburg 12.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 71.1%
X 16.7%
2 12.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Match center

Lokomotiv - FC Orenburg

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.85 market consensus · line only
X 5.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.35 74.1%
Х 5.74 17.4%
П2 7.85 12.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.40 29.4%
home_away 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.01 49.8%
ТМ 3.5 1.86 53.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.14 87.7%
П2 6.14 16.3%
Match center
Lokomotiv
W
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 5:1 Khimki
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
FC Orenburg
L
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:3 FC RostovFC Rostov
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLokomotiv - FC Orenburg

Lokomotiv
0 matches total
FC Orenburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history