Cup
Cup Russia
30.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Lokomotiv - FC Rostov

Russia Futbol
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
0 : 2
Finished
FC Rostov
FC Rostov

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lokomotiv - FC Rostov 30 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lokomotiv.

Line favourite market consensus: Lokomotiv. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.39 / 2 3.87
  • 1X2 market: Lokomotiv 46.7% / X 28.4% / FC Rostov 24.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 46.7%
X 28.4%
2 24.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 55.1%
Under 2.5 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 30.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Lokomotiv - FC Rostov

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.87 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.06 48.5%
Х 3.39 29.5%
П2 3.87 25.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.81 55.3%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.15 46.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.46 68.5%
П2 2.78 36.0%
Match center
Lokomotiv
W D W W
15.04 15:00 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
23.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
01.10 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:1 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 5:1 Khimki
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
10 Points
FC Rostov
L D D W
16.04 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:2 ZenitZenit
23.10 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
02.10 13:15 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:2 Khimki
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 3:1 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLokomotiv - FC Rostov

Lokomotiv
1 matches total
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
FC Rostov: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 23.10 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (23.10 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

23.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv
2:2
FC Rostov