Cup
Cup Russia
25.09.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Luki-Energiya - Baltika

Russia Futbol
Luki-Energiya
Luki-Energiya
1 : 1
Finished
Baltika
Baltika

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Luki-Energiya - Baltika 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Baltika.

Line favourite market consensus: Baltika. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 14.00 / X 6.20 / 2 1.17
  • 1X2 market: Luki-Energiya 6.6% / X 14.8% / Baltika 78.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 6.6%
X 14.8%
2 78.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.9%
Over 2.5 55.9%
Under 2.5 44.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 15:30 UTC
Match center

Luki-Energiya - Baltika

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.17 market consensus · line only
X 6.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.08 market consensus · line only
1X 4.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 14.00 7.1%
Х 6.20 16.1%
П2 1.17 85.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.02 98.0%
home_away 1.08 92.6%
home_draw 4.33 23.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.66 60.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.04 49.0%
ТМ 2.5 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Luki-Energiya
W
05.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Luki-Energiya 3:0 RyazanRyazan
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLuki-Energiya - Baltika

Luki-Energiya
0 matches total
Baltika
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history