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Cup
Cup Russia
25.09.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
25.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Mashuk-KMV - Rodina Moskva

Russia Futbol
Mashuk-KMV
Mashuk-KMV
0 : 3
Finished
Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mashuk-KMV - Rodina Moskva 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rodina Moskva.

Line favourite market consensus: Rodina Moskva. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.70 / X 3.78 / 2 1.54
  • 1X2 market: Mashuk-KMV 16.1% / X 24.3% / Rodina Moskva 59.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 16.1%
X 24.3%
2 59.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.0%
Over 2.5 45.8%
Under 2.5 54.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Mashuk-KMV - Rodina Moskva

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.54 market consensus · line only
X 3.78 market consensus · line only
1 5.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.70 17.5%
Х 3.78 26.5%
П2 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.10 90.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.28 43.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.02 49.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.71 58.5%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.78 56.2%
ТМ 1.5 1.88 53.2%
Match center
Mashuk-KMV
W
04.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Mashuk-KMV 1:0 Dinamo StavropolDinamo Stavropol
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMashuk-KMV - Rodina Moskva

Mashuk-KMV
0 matches total
Rodina Moskva
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history