Cup
Cup Russia
01.10.2024 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Nizhny Novgorod - ЦСКА Москва

Russia Futbol
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 2
Finished
ЦСКА Москва
ЦСКА Москва

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - ЦСКА Москва 1 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like ЦСКА Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: ЦСКА Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.22 / X 4.54 / 2 1.46
  • 1X2 market: Nizhny Novgorod 13.3% / X 21.1% / ЦСКА Москва 65.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 13.3%
X 21.1%
2 65.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 51.8%
Under 2.5 48.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2024 17:45 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - ЦСКА Москва

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.46 market consensus · line only
X 4.54 market consensus · line only
1 7.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 7.22 13.9%
Х 4.54 22.0%
П2 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.83 35.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.01 49.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.65 17.7%
П2 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
L
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:2 AkhmatAkhmat
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
ЦСКА Москва
W
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
ЦСКА Москва 2:0 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points