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Cup
Cup Russia
14.08.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
14.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Nizhny Novgorod - FC Rostov

Russia Football
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 0
Finished
FC Rostov
FC Rostov

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - FC Rostov August 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nizhny Novgorod.

Line favourite market consensus: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.28 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: Nizhny Novgorod 36.0% / X 28.6% / FC Rostov 35.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 36.1%
X 28.6%
2 35.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 47.0%
Under 2.5 53.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - FC Rostov

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.68 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.59 38.6%
X 3.30 30.3%
2.86 35.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
2.71 36.9% 2.69 37.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.59 38.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.59 38.6%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.44 29.1% 3.36 29.8% 3.30 30.3% 2.96 33.8% 3.30 30.3%
2.20 45.5% 2.79 35.8% 2.72 36.8% 2.86 35.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.86 35.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.04 49.0% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.08 48.1% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.72 58.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.26 79.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
L W L L
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
23.10 18:15 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 2:1 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
01.10 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:2 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:2 AkhmatAkhmat
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
FC Rostov
L W W L D
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:2 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
15.05 17:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
30.04 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:0 LokomotivLokomotiv
16.04 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:2 ZenitZenit
23.10 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points