Cup
Cup Russia
16.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Rodina Moskva - Spartak Kostroma

Russia Futbol
Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva
1 : 2
Finished
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rodina Moskva - Spartak Kostroma 16 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rodina Moskva.

Line favourite market consensus: Rodina Moskva. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.38 / 2 3.40
  • 1X2 market: Rodina Moskva 45.9% / X 27.2% / Spartak Kostroma 27.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 45.9%
X 27.1%
2 27.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.8%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Under 2.5 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Rodina Moskva - Spartak Kostroma

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.00 50.0%
Х 3.38 29.6%
П2 3.40 29.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 0.5 1.41 70.9%
ТМ 0.5 2.60 38.5%
Match center
Rodina Moskva
W
25.09 13:00 UTC Cup
Rodina Moskva 3:0 Mashuk-KMVMashuk-KMV
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Spartak Kostroma
W D
26.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Spartak Kostroma 1:0 Enisey
03.09 16:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Kostroma 1:1 TekstilshchikTekstilshchik
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points