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Cup
Cup Russia
01.10.2024 13:15 UTC Match prediction
01.10.2024 13:15 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Rubin - Fakel

Russia Futbol
Rubin
Rubin
0 : 1
Finished
Fakel
Fakel

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rubin - Fakel 1 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rubin.

Line favourite market consensus: Rubin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.93 / 2 5.46
  • 1X2 market: Rubin 58.1% / X 24.4% / Fakel 17.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 58.1%
X 24.4%
2 17.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 47.0%
Under 2.5 53.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2024 13:15 UTC
Match center

Rubin - Fakel

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.65 60.6%
Х 3.93 25.5%
П2 5.46 18.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.30 43.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.06 48.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.83 54.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.25 80.0%
П2 4.07 24.6%
Match center
Rubin
L
17.09 17:00 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:2 ZenitZenit
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Fakel
L
18.09 13:15 UTC Cup
Fakel 0:2 AkronAkron
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRubin - Fakel

Rubin
0 matches total
Fakel
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history