Cup Russia

12.08.2025 17:45 UTC Match prediction

12.08.2025 17:45 UTC

Finished

Cup

Спартак Москва - Dinamo Makhachkala

Russia Futbol

Спартак Москва

1 : 1

Finished

Dinamo Makhachkala

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Спартак Москва - Dinamo Makhachkala 12 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Спартак Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: Спартак Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.47 / 2 7.56
1X2 market: Спартак Москва 66.5% / X 21.0% / Dinamo Makhachkala 12.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%

1 66.6%

X 21.0%

2 12.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 50.6%

Under 2.5 49.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 12.08.2025 17:45 UTC

Match center

Спартак Москва - Dinamo Makhachkala

Form 5/4 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.60 market consensus · line only

X 4.49 market consensus · line only

1 1.41 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.95 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 1.08 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.97 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.20 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.68 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.69 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.43 69.9%
Х	4.61 21.7%
П2	7.84 12.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SBO	SStats Consensus
П1	1.40 71.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.41 70.9%	1.43 69.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.43 69.9%
Х	4.10 24.4%	4.76 21.0%	4.65 21.5%	4.61 21.7%	4.10 24.4%	4.61 21.7%
П2	6.10 16.4%	8.40 11.9%	8.20 12.2%	7.84 12.8%	6.95 14.4%	7.84 12.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.66 60.2%	1.68 59.5%	1.66 60.2%	1.74 57.5%
yes	2.15 46.5%	2.09 47.9%	2.09 47.9%	2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SBO	SStats Consensus
draw_away	3.00 33.3%	2.98 33.6%	3.00 33.3%	2.75 36.4%	3.00 33.3%
home_away	1.23 81.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%	1.12 89.3%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.10 90.9%	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%	1.01 99.0%	1.10 90.9%

Match center

Спартак Москва

W L W W W

30.07 17:45 UTC Cup

Спартак Москва 2:0 FC Rostov

15.05 17:00 UTC Cup

Спартак Москва 1:2 FC Rostov

29.04 17:30 UTC Cup

Спартак Москва 2:1 Dinamo

15.04 17:30 UTC Cup

Спартак Москва 3:0 Ural

22.10 15:30 UTC Cup

Спартак Москва 1:0 Dinamo Makhachkala

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.6 Conceded

12 Points

Dinamo Makhachkala

W L D D

30.07 15:30 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 1:0 Nizhny Novgorod

22.10 15:30 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 0:1 Spartak Moskva

02.10 16:00 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 3:3 Krylya Sovetov

18.09 18:15 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 2:2 Dinamo

1 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyСпартак Москва - Dinamo Makhachkala

Спартак Москва

1 matches total

Dinamo Makhachkala

Спартак Москва: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Dinamo Makhachkala: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Spartak Moskva 1:0 (22.10 15:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 22.10 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.10 15:30 UTC

Cup

Spartak Moskva

1:0

Dinamo Makhachkala