Cup
Cup Russia
18.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Спартак Москва - Dynamo

Russia Futbol
Спартак Москва
Спартак Москва
1 : 0
Finished
Dynamo
Dynamo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Спартак Москва - Dynamo 18 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Спартак Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: Спартак Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 4.05 / 2 4.07
  • 1X2 market: Спартак Москва 53.4% / X 23.4% / Dynamo 23.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 53.4%
X 23.3%
2 23.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.2%
Over 2.5 61.8%
Under 2.5 38.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

Спартак Москва - Dynamo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.07 market consensus · line only
X 4.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.44 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
П1 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.77 56.5%
Х 3.75 26.7% 4.25 23.5% 4.20 23.8% 4.23 23.6% 3.65 27.4% 4.23 23.6%
П2 3.65 27.4% 4.35 23.0% 4.30 23.3% 4.15 24.1% 3.79 26.4% 4.15 24.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet
no 2.50 40.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.39 41.8%
yes 1.51 66.2% 1.51 66.2% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.13 47.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2%
home_away 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.12 89.3% 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.25 1.06 94.3%
ТБ 1.5 1.11 90.1%
ТБ 1.75 1.13 88.5%
ТБ 2.0 1.17 85.5%
ТБ 2.25 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 2.5 1.49 67.1%
ТБ 2.75 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 3.0 1.92 52.1% 1.81 55.3%
ТБ 3.25 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 3.5 2.41 41.5%
ТБ 3.75 2.66 37.6%
ТБ 4.0 3.32 30.1%
ТБ 4.25 3.64 27.5%
ТБ 4.5 3.94 25.4%
ТМ 3.0 1.97 50.8%
Match center
Спартак Москва
L W W W W
05.03 17:45 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 2:5 DinamoDinamo
26.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 3:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
06.11 16:30 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 3:1 LokomotivLokomotiv
21.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 3:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
01.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
12 Points
Dynamo
W L W W D
05.03 17:45 UTC Cup
Dynamo 5:2 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
27.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 0:1 ZenitZenit
05.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 3:1 ZenitZenit
22.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Dynamo 4:0 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 0:0 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyСпартак Москва - Dynamo

Спартак Москва
3 matches total
Dynamo
Спартак Москва: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Dynamo: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Dinamo 2:5 (05.03 17:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (2:5, 05.03 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.03 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moskva
2:5
Dinamo
29.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Moskva
2:1
Dinamo
02.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Spartak Moskva
3:2
Dinamo