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Cup
Cup Russia
06.11.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv

Russia Football
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1
Finished
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv November 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spartak Moscow.

Line favourite market consensus: Spartak Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.30 / 2 3.35
  • 1X2 market: Spartak Moscow 43.7% / X 28.3% / Lokomotiv 28.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 43.6%
X 28.4%
2 28.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 48.0%
Under 2.5 52.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.11.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 2.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1% 2.26 44.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.18 45.9% 2.06 48.5% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.33 30.0% 3.01 33.2% 3.33 30.0%
3.25 30.8% 3.46 28.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.56 28.1% 3.02 33.1% 3.56 28.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.21 45.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.09 47.9% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.72 58.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.71 58.5% 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.75 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.0 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.25 1.66 60.2%
Over 2.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 2.75 1.92 52.1% 2.12 47.2%
Over 3.0 2.51 39.8%
Over 3.25 2.82 35.5%
Over 3.5 3.12 32.1%
Over 3.75 3.78 26.5%
Over 4.0 5.15 19.4%
Over 4.25 5.45 18.4%
Under 2.75 1.86 53.8%
Match center
Spartak Moscow
W W L W D
21.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 3:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
01.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
18.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 4:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Lokomotiv
W D W W W
23.10 18:00 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:1 BaltikaBaltika
01.10 17:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 0:0 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
16.09 15:45 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 3:1 AkronAkron
28.08 16:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:0 AkronAkron
13.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:0 BaltikaBaltika
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySpartak Moscow - Lokomotiv

Spartak Moscow
0 matches total
Lokomotiv
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history