Cup
Cup Russia
03.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Tekstilshchik - Spartak Kostroma

Russia Futbol
Tekstilshchik
Tekstilshchik
1 : 1
Finished
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tekstilshchik - Spartak Kostroma 3 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spartak Kostroma.

Line favourite market consensus: Spartak Kostroma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.08 / X 3.38 / 2 2.15
  • 1X2 market: Tekstilshchik 29.9% / X 27.3% / Spartak Kostroma 42.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 29.9%
X 27.3%
2 42.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Tekstilshchik - Spartak Kostroma

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 3.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.08 32.5%
Х 3.38 29.6%
П2 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.62 61.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 2.09 47.9%
ТМ 1.5 1.63 61.4%