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Cup
Cup Russia
29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Cup

Russia

Temp Barnaul - KDV

Russia Football
Temp Barnaul
Temp Barnaul
- : -
Not started
KDV
KDV
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 KDV69%

Pure model vs market (2 · KDV): model 46% · market 71% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Temp Barnaul13.7%
market13%
X · draw16.8%
market16%
2 · KDV ✓ Pick69.5%
market71%

Model estimate: win Temp Barnaul 13.7%, draw 16.8%, win KDV 69.5%. Model favourite — KDV.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2KDV (odds1.31) Score 0:2 Under 3.5 (odds1.90) Handicap H2 -1.5 (odds1.77) confidence 70%
  • Model backs KDV: probability 70% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:2
  • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
  • at line 3.5 (odds 1.90)
  • Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 0:2 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.77).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Temp Barnaul - KDV July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: KDV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.00 / X 5.50 / 2 1.27

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 12.8%
X 16.3%
2 ✓ Pick 70.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 7.00 → 7.00
1X2 X 5.50 → 5.50
1X2 P2 1.27 → 1.27

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Temp Barnaul - KDV

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Temp Barnaul 12.7% 13.7%
Draw 16.4% 16.8% draw risk
KDV 71.0% 69.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 13.7% / 16.8% / 69.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,430 / 1,708 Temp Barnaul / KDV
RD 232 / 234 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 967-1,893 / 1,239-2,177 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 69.5%
X 5.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.00 Fonbet · no value · model 13.7%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 83.2%
1X 3.10 Fonbet · no value · model 30.5%
X2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 86.3%
Both teams to score
No 2.34 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.34 42.7%
yes 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6%
1x 3.07 32.6% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
x2 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
6.60 15.2%
X 2.97 33.7%
1.73 57.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 1.5 1.86 53.8%
Match center
Temp Barnaul
Country Russia
KDV
Country Russia
Match center
Temp Barnaul
L D D
10.09 10:00 UTC Cup
Temp Barnaul 0:1 Znamya TrudaZnamya Truda
19.08 12:00 UTC Cup
Temp Barnaul 0:0 Irtysh OmskIrtysh Omsk
07.08 12:00 UTC Cup
Temp Barnaul 2:2 Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
KDV
L W W
11.09 09:00 UTC Cup
KDV 0:3 IrkutskIrkutsk
20.08 10:00 UTC Cup
KDV 3:0 Dinamo Vladivostok
07.08 09:30 UTC Cup
KDV 4:0 Anri Vladivostok
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTemp Barnaul - KDV

Temp Barnaul
0 matches total
KDV
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history