Cup
Cup Russia
25.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Torpedo Moskva - Baltika

Russia Futbol
Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva
0 : 2
Finished
Baltika
Baltika

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torpedo Moskva - Baltika 25 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Baltika.

Line favourite market consensus: Baltika. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.92 / X 3.41 / 2 1.87
  • 1X2 market: Torpedo Moskva 23.7% / X 26.9% / Baltika 49.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 23.6%
X 27.1%
2 49.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Under 2.5 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Torpedo Moskva - Baltika

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.87 market consensus · line only
X 3.41 market consensus · line only
1 3.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.85 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 -1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
П1 4.70 21.3% 4.12 24.3% 3.92 25.5% 3.62 27.6% 3.26 30.7% 3.92 25.5%
Х 3.45 29.0% 3.61 27.7% 3.44 29.1% 3.45 29.0% 3.09 32.4% 3.44 29.1%
П2 1.62 61.7% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet
no 1.65 60.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
yes 2.16 46.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3%
home_away 1.34 74.6% 1.28 78.1% 1.19 84.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 0.75 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25 1.15 87.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.28 78.1%
ТБ 1.75 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 2.0 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 2.25 1.90 52.6% 1.71 58.5%
ТБ 2.5 2.06 48.5%
ТБ 2.75 2.21 45.3%
ТБ 3.0 2.69 37.2%
ТБ 3.25 3.00 33.3%
ТБ 3.5 3.30 30.3%
ТБ 3.75 4.10 24.4%
ТБ 4.0 5.70 17.5%
ТБ 4.25 6.05 16.5%
ТМ 2.25 1.92 52.1%
Match center
Torpedo Moskva
D W W L W
29.10 16:30 UTC Cup
Torpedo Moskva 1:1 Kuban Kholding
16.10 14:30 UTC Cup
Torpedo Moskva 3:0 VelesVeles
24.09 16:00 UTC Cup
Torpedo Moskva 3:1 Kristall MEZ
16.10 16:30 UTC Cup
Torpedo Moskva 0:4 BaltikaBaltika
25.09 16:30 UTC Cup
Torpedo Moskva 2:1 KAMAZKAMAZ
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Baltika
L W D L L
23.10 18:00 UTC Cup
Baltika 1:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
01.10 17:30 UTC Cup
Baltika 3:0 AkronAkron
18.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Baltika 1:1 ЦСКА МоскваЦСКА Москва
27.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Baltika 0:2 ЦСКА МоскваЦСКА Москва
13.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Baltika 0:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorpedo Moskva - Baltika

Torpedo Moskva
1 matches total
Baltika
Torpedo Moskva: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Baltika: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Baltika 0:4 (16.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 16.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

16.10 16:30 UTC Cup
Torpedo Moskva
0:4
Baltika