Cup
Cup Russia
16.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Tyumen - Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Russia Futbol
Tyumen
Tyumen
0 : 0
Finished
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tyumen - Alaniya Vladikavkaz 16 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tyumen.

Line favourite market consensus: Tyumen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.26 / 2 3.26
  • 1X2 market: Tyumen 43.7% / X 28.2% / Alaniya Vladikavkaz 28.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 43.7%
X 28.2%
2 28.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.0%
Over 2.5 45.2%
Under 2.5 54.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Tyumen - Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.26 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 2.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.10 47.6%
Х 3.26 30.7%
П2 3.26 30.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.05 48.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.69 59.2%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 0.5 1.42 70.4%
ТМ 0.5 2.57 38.9%
Match center
Tyumen
W
24.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Tyumen 2:0 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
W
26.09 16:30 UTC Cup
Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1:0 AmkalAmkal
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points