Cup
Cup Russia
24.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Volga Ulyanovsk - Rotor Volgograd

Russia Futbol
Volga Ulyanovsk
Volga Ulyanovsk
1 : 1
Finished
Rotor Volgograd
Rotor Volgograd

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volga Ulyanovsk - Rotor Volgograd 24 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rotor Volgograd.

Line favourite market consensus: Rotor Volgograd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.81 / X 3.08 / 2 2.45
  • 1X2 market: Volga Ulyanovsk 32.7% / X 29.8% / Rotor Volgograd 37.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 32.7%
X 29.8%
2 37.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.8%
Over 2.5 40.2%
Under 2.5 59.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Volga Ulyanovsk - Rotor Volgograd

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.08 market consensus · line only
1 2.81 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.81 35.6%
Х 3.08 32.5%
П2 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.37 73.0%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.47 68.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.31 43.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 2.67 37.5%
ТМ 1.5 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Volga Ulyanovsk
W
04.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Volga Ulyanovsk 7:0 Dinamo KirovDinamo Kirov
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
7.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points