Cup
Cup Russia
12.08.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Zenit - Rubin

Russia Futbol
Zenit
Zenit
3 : 0
Finished
Rubin
Rubin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zenit - Rubin 12 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zenit.

Line favourite market consensus: Zenit. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.66 / 2 6.87
  • 1X2 market: Zenit 66.1% / X 20.2% / Rubin 13.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 66.3%
X 20.1%
2 13.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 55.9%
Under 2.5 44.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 12.08.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Zenit - Rubin

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 market consensus · line only
X 4.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.97 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.19 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.42 70.4%
Х 4.95 20.2%
П2 7.08 14.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
П1 1.38 72.5% 1.47 68.0% 1.43 69.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4%
Х 4.35 23.0% 4.87 20.5% 4.75 21.1% 4.95 20.2% 4.06 24.6% 4.95 20.2%
П2 6.00 16.7% 7.48 13.4% 7.30 13.7% 7.08 14.1% 6.28 15.9% 7.08 14.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.92 52.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.91 34.4% 2.89 34.6% 2.98 33.6% 2.62 38.2% 2.98 33.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.03 97.1% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Zenit
W L W W W
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
14.05 16:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 0:2 ЦСКА МоскваЦСКА Москва
30.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:0 ЦСКА МоскваЦСКА Москва
16.04 15:00 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:0 FC RostovFC Rostov
22.10 13:15 UTC Cup
Zenit 1:0 FakelFakel
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Rubin
W W L L
31.07 16:30 UTC Cup
Rubin 2:0 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
23.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Rubin 1:0 AkronAkron
01.10 13:15 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:1 FakelFakel
17.09 17:00 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:2 ZenitZenit
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZenit - Rubin

Zenit
1 matches total
Rubin
Zenit: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rubin: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Zenit 2:0 (17.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 17.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

17.09 17:00 UTC Cup
Zenit
2:0
Rubin