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Cyprus - Division 1
Cyprus - Division 1 Cyprus
06.05.2026 16:00 UTC Playoff chempionov. 33 round
Finished

Cyprus - Division 1

Cyprus

AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol

Cyprus Football
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
1 : 0
Finished
Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: AEK Larnaca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / X 5.90 / 2 7.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 20.4%
1 74.1%
X 14.1%
2 11.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi AEK Larnaka - Apollon L, 6 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. First Division chempionata Kipra po futbolu 2025/2026, Playoff chempionov. 33 round. AEK Larnaka - Apollon L, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.46 market consensus · line only
X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.4% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.00 99.9%
X 10.00 10.0% 21.00 4.8% 19.00 5.3% 81.00 1.2% 51.00 2.0% 17.00 5.9%
81.00 1.2% 151.00 0.7% 151.00 0.7% 501.00 0.2% 43.00 2.3% 101.00 1.0%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 AEK Larnaca
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca Team comparison Apollon Limassol
32 Games 32
18 Wins 18
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 7
54 Scored 45
27 Conceded 33
61 Points 61
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
9.66 Shots on goal 9.75
5.09 Shots on target 4.66
ezhdeniya 2.59 0.03 Sendoffs 0.13 Goly Riad Baich 1:0 11' Nakazaniya Elokhor Godsuill 26' Valentin Roberzh 32' Robertos Roti 45' Andreas Siikis 60' Pere Pons 61' Daniel Eskrikh 70' Petros Yannu 74' Elokhor Godsuill 84' Khorkhe Miramon 87' Ivan Lyubich 88'

AEK Larnaka Apollon L 32 Games 32 18 Wins 18 7 Draws 7 Losses 7 54 Scored 45 27 Conceded 33 61 Points 61 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9.66 Shots on goal 9.75 5.09 Udary v stvor 4.66 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.19 Uglovye 5.44 1.34 Offsaydy 1.13 10.22 Foly 13.06 54.84 % vladeniya myachom 52.81 1.75 Warnings 2.59 0.03 Sendoffs 0.13 Goly Riad Baich 1:0 11' Nakazaniya Elokhor Godsuill 26' Valentin Roberzh 32' Robertos Roti 45' Andreas Siikis 60' Pere Pons 61' Daniel Eskrikh 70' Petros Yannu 74' Elokhor Godsuill 84' Khorkhe Miramon 87' Ivan Lyubich 88'