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Cyprus - Division 1
Cyprus - Division 1 Cyprus
06.05.2026 16:00 UTC Playoff chempionov. 33 round
Finished

Cyprus - Division 1

Cyprus

Aris Limassol - Apoel Nikosiya

Cyprus Football
Aris Limassol
Aris Limassol
1 : 0
Finished
Apoel Nikosiya
Apoel Nikosiya

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aris Limassol - Apoel Nikosiya May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Aris Limassol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / X 6.90 / 2 3.19

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 37.6%
1 66.7%
X 10.5%
2 22.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Aris Limassol - Apoel Nikosiya

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Aris - APOEL, 6 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. First Division chempionata Kipra po futbolu 2025/2026, Playoff chempionov. 33 round. Aris - APOEL, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.36 market consensus · line only
X 6.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
6.50 15.4% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 98.8% 1.01 99.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.00 99.6%
X 1.18 84.7% 26.00 3.9% 23.00 4.4% 51.00 2.0% 41.00 2.4% 15.50 6.5%
8.50 11.8% 151.00 0.7% 151.00 0.7% 501.00 0.2% 50.00 2.0% 126.00 0.8%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Aris Limassol
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Apoel Nikosiya
Aris Limassol Team comparison Apoel Nikosiya
32 Games 32
13 Wins 15
9 Draws 7
10 Losses 10
55 Scored 53
36 Conceded 37
48 Points 52
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
10.31 Shots on goal 9.26
5.44 Shots on target 4.94
2.09 0.09 Sendoffs 0.09 Goly Grigoris Kastanos 1:0 55' Nakazaniya Dalsyu 51' Yasin Buran 84' Gabriel Mayoli 84' Konstantinos Layfis 90+6' Konstantinos Layfis 90+6' Piter Olayinka 90+6'

Aris APOEL 32 Games 32 13 Wins 15 9 Draws 7 10 Losses 10 55 Scored 53 36 Conceded 37 48 Points 52 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 10.31 Shots on goal 9.26 5.44 Udary v stvor 4.94 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.5 Uglovye 5 1.47 Offsaydy 1.03 13.41 Foly 12.28 51.72 % vladeniya myachom 49.09 2.5 Warnings 2.09 0.09 Sendoffs 0.09 Goly Grigoris Kastanos 1:0 55' Nakazaniya Dalsyu 51' Yasin Buran 84' Gabriel Mayoli 84' Konstantinos Layfis 90+6' Konstantinos Layfis 90+6' Piter Olayinka 90+6'