Czech. Cup. Round of 256
Slavia Karlovy Vary - Chomutov
Slavia Karlovy Vary face Chomutov on August 1, 2026 in the Czech. Cup. Round of 256.
Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Slavia Karlovy Vary — 41%
Pure model vs market (1 · Slavia Karlovy Vary): model 63% · market 40% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Slavia Karlovy Vary 40.9%, draw 23.3%, win Chomutov 35.8%. Model favourite — Slavia Karlovy Vary.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Karlovy Vary: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.31)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Slavia Karlovy Vary - Chomutov August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.93 / 2 2.59
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Slavia Karlovy Vary - Chomutov
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.21 82.6% |
| 1x | 1.45 69.0% | 1.49 67.1% |
| x2 | 1.50 66.7% | 1.55 64.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.84 35.2% | |
| X | 2.37 42.2% |
| 3.06 32.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 55.3% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% |
Team To Score First
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| X | 19.50 5.1% |
| 2.01 49.8% |
Slavia Karlovy Vary
Marianske-Lazne
Full head-to-head historySlavia Karlovy Vary - Chomutov
Match history
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The Slavia Karlovy Vary - Chomutov breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form