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Czech. Cup. Round of 256
Czech. Cup. Round of 256
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Czech. Cup. Round of 256

Slavia Karlovy Vary - Chomutov

Football
Slavia Karlovy Vary
Slavia Karlovy Vary
- : -
Finished
C
Chomutov

Slavia Karlovy Vary face Chomutov on August 1, 2026 in the Czech. Cup. Round of 256.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Slavia Karlovy Vary41%

Pure model vs market (1 · Slavia Karlovy Vary): model 63% · market 40% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Slavia Karlovy Vary40.9%
X · draw23.3%
2 · Chomutov35.8%

Model estimate: win Slavia Karlovy Vary 40.9%, draw 23.3%, win Chomutov 35.8%. Model favourite — Slavia Karlovy Vary.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Slavia Karlovy Vary (odds2.31) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Karlovy Vary: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.31)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Slavia Karlovy Vary - Chomutov August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Slavia Karlovy Vary. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.93 / 2 2.59

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 40.1%
X 23.8%
2 36.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 40.1% @ 2.33 / X 23.8% @ 3.93 / 2 36.1% @ 2.59
Match center

Slavia Karlovy Vary - Chomutov

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Slavia Karlovy Vary 39.6% 40.9% market and model agree
Draw 23.6% 23.3% draw risk
Chomutov 36.9% 35.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.9% / 23.3% / 35.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,886 / 1,518 Slavia Karlovy Vary / Chomutov
RD 256 / 288 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,373-2,398 / 943-2,093 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.51 market consensus · no value · model 35.8%
X 3.91 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.30 market consensus · no value · model 40.9%
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 76.7%
1X 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 64.2%
X2 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 59.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.91 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1%
x2 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.84 35.2%
X 2.37 42.2%
3.06 32.7%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%

Team To Score First

Outcome Leon
1.88 53.2%
X 19.50 5.1%
2.01 49.8%
Match center
Slavia Karlovy Vary
W W W
13.06 13:00 UTC+0 Czechia: 4. liga - Group B Standings
Slavia Karlovy Vary 6:0 Predni Kopanina
06.06 14:00 UTC+0 Czechia: 4. liga - Group B Standings
Slavia Karlovy Vary 7:0 Olimpiya Brzhezova
02.06 14:00 UTC+0 Czechia: 4. liga - Group B Standings
Slavia Karlovy Vary 4:1 Marianske-LazneMarianske-Lazne
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
Chomutov
D
13.06 06:15 UTC+0 Czechia: 4. liga - Group B Standings
Chomutov 2:2 Banik Sokolov
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points