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Czech. Cup. Round of 256
Czech. Cup. Round of 256
28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Czech. Cup. Round of 256

Stara Rise - Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod

Football
S
Stara Rise
- : -
Not started
S
Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod — 49%

Pure model vs market (2 · Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod): model 31% · market 49% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Stara Rise31.3%
X · draw19.9%
2 · Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod48.8%

Model estimate: win Stara Rise 31.3%, draw 19.9%, win Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod 48.8%. Model favourite — Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod (odds1.83) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stara Rise - Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.05 / X 4.70 / 2 1.89

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 30.6%
X 19.9%
2 49.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Stara Rise 3 : 1 Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod
11.66
X3.95
24.07

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Stara Rise - Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Stara Rise 30.3% 31.3%
Draw 19.8% 19.9% draw risk
Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod 49.9% 48.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.3% / 19.9% / 48.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,446 / 1,400 Stara Rise / Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod
RD 281 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 885-2,008 / 801-2,000 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 market consensus · no value · model 48.8%
X 4.65 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.01 market consensus · no value · model 31.3%
Double chance
12 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 80.1%
1X 1.85 market consensus · no value · model 51.2%
X2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 68.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.48 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.61 38.3%
yes 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2%
x2 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.66 27.3%
X 2.53 39.5%
2.32 43.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 1.5 1.65 60.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Stara RiseLL
Slovan Gavlichkuv-BrodLWDLWL
Source: ruscore
Stara Rise
L W
13.06 06:15 UTC+0 Czechia: Kray Vysochina Standings
Stara Rise 1:2 Zhirovnitse
07.06 12:30 UTC+0 Czechia: Kray Vysochina Standings
Stara Rise 5:0 Slavoy Polna
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod
D D
13.06 11:00 UTC+0 Czechia: 4. liga - Group D Standings
Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod 2:2 Sperzhitse
07.06 13:00 UTC+0 Czechia: 4. liga - Group D Standings
Slovan Gavlichkuv-Brod 2:2 FS Trebic
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points