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12.06.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Friendly. Clubs

Bzenets - Ugerski-Brod

Football
B
Bzenets
1 : 1
Finished
U
Ugerski-Brod

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bzenets - Ugerski-Brod June 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / X 1.30 / 2 5.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.8%
1 14.7%
X 68.8%
2 16.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

4. liga - Divizie E
League table
Bzenets
#841 ptsGP 2713-2-1259:52
LWLLW
Ugerski-Brod
#169 ptsGP 2721-6-055:14
DWWWD
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Bzenets
W-D-L 5-0-5 Scored 2.20 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.67 xGA 1.69
1 -2.44 X -6.00 2 +2.11 1 (DNB) +0.00
Ugerski-Brod
W-D-L 7-3-0 Scored 2.10 Conceded 0.91 xG 2.18 xGA 0.77
1 -0.34 X +1.30 2 -3.00 1 (DNB) +0.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Bzenets
Rating 1549
Ugerski-Brod
Rating 1776

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 12.06.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Bzenets - Ugerski-Brod

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.40 Fonbet · line only
X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.11 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.00 33.3%
1x 1.11 90.1%
x2 1.09 91.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.00 33.3%
2.02 49.5%
1.35 74.1%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 5.20 19.2%
Over 3.5 1.72 58.1%
Under 2.5 1.12 89.3%
Under 3.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.10 16.4%
X 1.30 76.9%
5.40 18.5%
Match center
Bzenets
L
07.06 06:15 UTC Czechia: 4. liga - Group E Standings
Bzenets 0:1 Slavitsin
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Ugerski-Brod
D
05.06 14:00 UTC Czechia: 4. liga - Group E Standings
Ugerski-Brod 4:4 Nove-Sady
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBzenets - Ugerski-Brod

Bzenets
0 matches total
Ugerski-Brod
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history