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Denmark: First Division Standings
Denmark: First Division Standings
31.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Denmark: First Division Standings

AB Gladsaxe - Fredericia

Football
AB Gladsaxe
AB Gladsaxe
0 : 0
Finished
Fredericia
Fredericia
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Fredericia — 43%

Pure model vs market (2 · Fredericia): model 35% · market 29% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · AB Gladsaxe31.5%
X · draw25.6%
2 · Fredericia42.9%

Model estimate: win AB Gladsaxe 31.5%, draw 25.6%, win Fredericia 42.9%. Model favourite — Fredericia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Fredericia (odds2.16) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Frederisiya: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.16)
  • • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AB Gladsaxe - Fredericia July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AB Gladsaxe.

Line favourite Fonbet: AB Gladsaxe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 6.40 / 2 2.15
  • Glicko: AB Gladsaxe 31.5% / X 25.6% / Fredericia 42.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 59.2%
1 61.0%
X 9.8%
2 29.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

1. Division
League table
AB Gladsaxe
#91 ptsGP 10-1-02:2
ARRAY
Fredericia
#23 ptsGP 11-0-03:0
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 3.10 Bet365
X 3.88 Pinnacle
2 2.20 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
AB Gladsaxe
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.53 Conceded 1.79 xG 1.07 xGA 1.82
Fredericia
W-D-L 7-3-0 Scored 2.35 Conceded 0.37 xG 1.49 xGA 1.21

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 61.0% @ 1.03 / X 9.8% @ 6.40 / 2 29.2% @ 2.15
Match center

AB Gladsaxe - Fredericia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 42.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.837 / LogLoss 1.364
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 42.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.837 / LogLoss 1.364
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
AB Gladsaxe 30.8% 31.5%
Draw 25.8% 25.6% draw risk
Fredericia 43.4% 42.9% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.5% / 25.6% / 42.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,665 / 1,699 Akademik BK / Frederisiya
RD 261 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,144-2,187 / 1,117-2,281 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.13 market consensus · no value · model 42.9%
X 6.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 31.5%
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 74.4%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 57.1%
X2 7.20 Fonbet · weak value +393.0% · model 68.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.65 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.61 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.10 90.9% 2.44 41.0%
yes 5.40 18.5% 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.60 62.5% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.33 75.2% 7.20 13.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.41 29.3%
X 2.35 42.6%
2.63 38.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-31 · Gladsaks 1:1 Frederisiya
Source: ruscore
AB Gladsaxe
D W D W L
2026-07-24 1. Division 26/27
AB Gladsaxe Vejle 2:2 AB Gladsaxe
2026-07-14 Club Friendly Games 2026
AB Gladsaxe AB Gladsaxe 2:0 Helsingborg
2026-07-07 Club Friendly Games 2026
AB Gladsaxe AB Gladsaxe 1:1 FC Roskilde
2026-06-06 2. Division 25/26, Promotion Round
AB Gladsaxe AB Gladsaxe 3:0 Thisted
2026-05-29 2. Division 25/26, Promotion Round
AB Gladsaxe Naestved BK 4:1 AB Gladsaxe
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Fredericia
W W W W L
2026-07-25 1. Division 26/27
Fredericia 3:0 Koge Fredericia
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Esbjerg 0:1 Fredericia Fredericia
2026-07-04 Club Friendly Games 2026
Holstein Kiel 1:3 Fredericia Fredericia
2026-05-17 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Fredericia 4:1 Silkeborg Fredericia
2026-05-10 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Vejle 2:0 Fredericia Fredericia
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAB Gladsaxe - Fredericia

AB Gladsaxe
0 matches total
Fredericia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history