Denmark: First Division Standings
Koge - Vejle
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Vejle — 53%
Pure model vs market (2 · Vejle): model 46% · market 54% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Koge 23.1%, draw 23.8%, win Vejle 53.1%. Model favourite — Vejle.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Vayle: probability 53% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
- • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Koge - Vejle July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.20 / X 3.90 / 2 1.73
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Koge - Vejle
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% |
| 1x | 1.94 51.6% | 2.03 49.3% |
| x2 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| X | 2.36 42.4% |
| 2.23 44.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.41 41.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.46 68.5% |
Koge
Frederisiya
Full head-to-head historyKoge - Vejle
Match history
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The Koge - Vejle breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form