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Denmark: First Division Standings
Denmark: First Division Standings
31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Denmark: First Division Standings

Koge - Vejle

Football
Koge
Koge
0 : 0
Finished
V
Vejle
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Vejle53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Vejle): model 46% · market 76% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Koge23.1%
X · draw24.1%
2 · Vejle52.9%

Model estimate: win Koge 23.1%, draw 24.1%, win Vejle 52.9%. Model favourite — Vejle.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Vejle (odds1.72) Score 1:2 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Vayle: probability 53% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Koge - Vejle July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vejle.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vejle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / X 12.50 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Koge 23.1% / X 24.1% / Vejle 52.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 30.8%
1 18.2%
X 6.1%
2 75.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

1. Division
League table
Koge
#120 ptsGP 20-0-20:5
ARRAY
Vejle
#34 ptsGP 21-1-04:2
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 4.20 Betfair
X 3.92 Pinnacle
2 1.80 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Koge
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.36 Conceded 1.06 xG 1.47 xGA 1.48
Vejle
W-D-L 4-6-0 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.35 xG 1.73 xGA 1.08

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Koge
Rating 1446 xG 0.87 Win 19%
Vejle
Rating 1614 xG 1.68 Win 57%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Koge 1 : 1 Vejle
14.09
X3.84
21.76

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 18.2% @ 4.20 / X 6.1% @ 12.50 / 2 75.7% @ 1.01
Match center

Koge - Vejle

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.909 / LogLoss 1.424
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.909 / LogLoss 1.424
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Koge 22.5% 23.1%
Draw 24.2% 24.1% draw risk
Vejle 53.3% 52.9% market and model agree
xG - 0.86 : 1.68
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.1% / 24.1% / 52.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,301 / 1,548 Koge / Vejle
RD 291 / 287 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 719-1,883 / 975-2,121 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 52.9%
X 3.84 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.13 market consensus · no value · model 23.1%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 75.9%
1X 1.99 market consensus · no value · model 47.1%
X2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 76.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.30 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 2.12 47.2%
yes 3.10 32.3% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.94 51.6% 2.03 49.3% 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.40 22.7%
X 2.36 42.4%
2.23 44.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.41 41.5%
Under 1.5 1.46 68.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-31 · Kege 0:2 Vayle
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.3 (Winline) · X 3.95 (Winline) · 2 1.85 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 4.15 3.8 1.7
Winline 4.3 3.95 1.66
Fonbet 4.15 3.8 1.7
Betcity 3.8 3.6 1.85
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Koge
L L W L L
2026-07-25 1. Division 26/27
Koge Fredericia 3:0 Koge
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Koge Naestved BK 2:0 Koge
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Koge Koge 1:0 FC Roskilde
2026-07-03 Club Friendly Games 2026
Koge Hvidovre 1:0 Koge
2026-05-30 1. Division 25/26, Relegation Round
Koge Aalborg 1:0 Koge
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Vejle
D D D W W
2026-07-24 1. Division 26/27
Vejle 2:2 AB Gladsaxe Vejle
2026-07-03 Club Friendly Games 2026
Vejle 2:2 Randers Vejle
2026-06-27 Club Friendly Games 2026
Esbjerg 3:3 Vejle Vejle
2026-05-17 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Odense 0:1 Vejle Vejle
2026-05-10 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Vejle 2:0 Fredericia Vejle
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKoge - Vejle

Koge
0 matches total
Vejle
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history