Denmark. Cup. Round of 128
Bogense - Esbjerg
Bogense face Esbjerg on August 6, 2026 in the Denmark. Cup. Round of 128.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Esbjerg — 53%
Model estimate: win Bogense 28.4%, draw 19.0%, win Esbjerg 52.6%. Model favourite — Esbjerg.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Esberg: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.26)
- • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bogense - Esbjerg August 6, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 0:6 · 90'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
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Bogense - Esbjerg
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 3.65 27.4% | |
| 2.40 41.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 5.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 6.5 | 3.45 29.0% |
| Over 7.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Under 4.5 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
Esbjerg
Full head-to-head historyBogense - Esbjerg
Match history
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The Bogense - Esbjerg breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form