AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to B 93. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
04.09.2026 17:00 UTC
Denmark: Second Division
B 93 host Naestved in football, in Denmark: Second Division, on 4 September 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes B 93 the favourite, with a win probability of about 45%. The bookmaker consensus (3 books) implies about 45% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 26%.
Recent form reads: B 93 have 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost of their last 5; Naestved have 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost of 5. Glicko ratings: B 93 1658, Naestved 1641, a gap of 17 points.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 17 Glicko rating points, the model's 45% for B 93. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 B 93 — 45%
Model estimate: win B 93 44.7%, draw 26.4%, win Naestved 28.9%. Model favourite — B 93.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Double chance — B 93 or draw 1.28
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.26 79.4% | 1.29 77.5% |
| x2 | 1.63 61.4% | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.68 37.3% | |
| X | 2.15 46.5% |
| 3.67 27.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Under 1 | 2.08 48.1% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2 | 3.45 | 3.25 |
| Winline | 2.41 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Fonbet | 2 | 3.45 | 3.25 |
| Betcity | 2.05 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
KhIK
Nyukebing
Roskilde
FA 2000
Naestved
Brabrand
Roskilde
Full head-to-head history: B 93 - Naestved
The B 93 - Naestved breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to B 93. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for B 93 vs Naestved from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
September 4, 2026.
