Match center
Start
13.06.2026 10:00 UTC
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13.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished
Denmark: Tretiy Division - Povyshenie - Group Standings
Horsholm-Usserod - Nestbyu
H
Horsholm-Usserod
2
:
4
Finished
N
Nestbyu
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Horsholm-Usserod - Nestbyu June 13, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nestbyu.
Line favourite market consensus: Nestbyu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.21 / X 4.05 / 2 1.82
- 1X2 market: Horsholm-Usserod 28.1% / X 22.3% / Nestbyu 49.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.8%
1
28.1%
X
22.3%
2
49.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
3. DivisionLeague table
Horsholm-Usserod
LWDLL
Nestbyu
WWLWW
Best price
across 13 books
1
3.60
Betfair
X
4.30
Superbet
2
1.91
Unibet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Horsholm-Usserod
W-D-L 1-1-8
Scored 0.70
Conceded 2.20
xG 1.34
xGA 1.86
1 -6.00
X -5.65
2 +4.80
1 (DNB) -3.82
Nestbyu
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 2.00
Conceded 1.10
xG 1.62
xGA 1.57
1 +0.90
X -5.60
2 -3.33
1 (DNB) -0.63
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Horsholm-Usserod
Rating 1484
Nestbyu
Rating 1598
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Horsholm-Usserod - Nestbyu
Form
1/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.81
market consensus · line only
X
4.10
market consensus · line only
1
3.21
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.31
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.06
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.27 30.6% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
Total
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.36 73.5% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.44 69.4% |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 3.75 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 4.0 | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 4.25 | — | 2.56 39.1% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 2.78 36.0% |
| Over 4.75 | — | 3.28 30.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Baltbet | Bet365 | Betano | Betcity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.27 30.6% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.30 23.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.60 21.7% |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.76 56.8% |
Match center
Horsholm-Usserod
W
Horsholm-Usserod
2:0
Vanlos
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Nestbyu
W
L
Nestbyu
1:0
FA 2000
Nestbyu
2:3
Nyukebing
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHorsholm-Usserod - Nestbyu
Horsholm-Usserod
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Horsholm-Usserod - Nestbyu breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form