AI verdict

AI pickGanza win probability ~52% best odds 12.20

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Ganza. Full breakdown below.

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DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Not started

DFB Pokal

Ganza - Stuttgart

Football
G
Ganza
- : -
Not started
Stuttgart
Stuttgart

Ganza go head-to-head with Stuttgart on August 21, 2026 in the DFB Pokal.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ganza52%

1 · Ganza52.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Stuttgart28.5%

Model estimate: win Ganza 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Stuttgart 28.5%. Model favourite — Ganza.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ganza - Stuttgart August 21, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 12.20 / X 6.30 / 2 1.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 7.9%
X 15.3%
2 76.9%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Ostzeshtadion (Rostok, Germany)
Start 21.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 7.9% @ 12.20 / X 15.3% @ 6.30 / 2 76.9% @ 1.25
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Ganza52%
💹 Market Stuttgart 77%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Ganza - Stuttgart

football, Ganza R - Shtutgart, 21 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Ganza R - Shtutgart, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Cup Germany po futbolu 2026/27, 1-y raund.

Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ganza 7.7% 52.1% Glicko contrarian
Draw 15.3% 19.4% draw risk
Stuttgart 77.0% 28.5% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Ganza / Stuttgart
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 28.5%
X 6.30 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.96 51.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
10.10 9.9%
X 2.99 33.4%
1.57 63.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.98 50.5%
Under 1.5 1.77 56.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.79 55.9%
1.96 51.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Ganza - Stuttgart

Ganza
0 matches total
Stuttgart
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Ganza
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Stuttgart
Ganza Team comparison Stuttgart
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
. Prognoz: Mario Gomes and Didavi dadut zayti koeffitsientu 3.20 «Shtutgart» — «Hamburg»
. Prognoz: Mario Gomes and Badshtuber vernut shvabov na vtoroe mesto «Kholshtayn» — «Shtutgart»
. Prognoz: Mario Gomes, Didavi and Kastro razberutsya s «aistami» Ostanovite, «Siti» nado vyyti! «Dynamo» — «Anzhi»: bitva za elitnuyu propisku ne oboydetsya bez golov Trener-vunderkind privedet «Shalke» k novoy pobede Bilich obrushit svoy molot na «Liverpul»
Voskresnyy ekspress: «Liverpul», Dortmund, «Sevilya» ; CHAMP({
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Ganza R Shtutgart 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 33% 34% 33% Double chance 34% 32% 34% Materialy po prognozam «Hamburg» — «Shtutgart». Rano radovalis! «Shtutgart» — «Bayer». U Azmuna budet shans «Dynamo Dr» — «Shtutgart». Prognoz: Mario Gomes and Didavi dadut zayti koeffitsientu 3.20 «Shtutgart» — «Hamburg». Prognoz: Mario Gomes and Badshtuber vernut shvabov na vtoroe mesto «Kholshtayn» — «Shtutgart». Prognoz: Mario Gomes, Didavi and Kastro razberutsya s «aistami» Ostanovite, «Siti» nado vyyti! «Dynamo» — «Anzhi»: bitva za elitnuyu propisku ne oboydetsya bez golov Trener-vunderkind privedet «Shalke» k novoy pobede Bilich obrushit svoy molot na «Liverpul» Voskresnyy ekspress: «Liverpul», Dortmund, «Sevilya» CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1342144' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');

Frequently asked questions

When does Ganza vs Stuttgart start?

August 21, 2026.