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Ecuador. Women. Superleague
Ecuador. Women. Superleague
28.07.2026 18:00 UTC
28.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Ecuador. Women. Superleague

LDU Quito - Leones del Norte

Football
LDU Quito
LDU Quito
- : -
Not started
Leones del Norte
Leones del Norte
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Leones del Norte — 52%

1 · LDU Quito28.4%
X · draw19.8%
2 · Leones del Norte51.8%

Model estimate: win LDU Quito 28.4%, draw 19.8%, win Leones del Norte 51.8%. Model favourite — Leones del Norte.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leones del Norte (odds1.93) Score 1:2 confidence 52%
  • • Model backs Leones del Norte: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.93)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU Quito - Leones del Norte July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

LDU Quito - Leones del Norte

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
LDU Quito - 28.4%
Draw - 19.8% draw risk
Leones del Norte - 51.8% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.4% / 19.8% / 51.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,375 / 1,600 LDU Quito / Leones del Norte
RD 154 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,067-1,682 / 1,000-2,199 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
LDU Quito
D
08.07 23:00 UTC Ecuador: Cup Ekvadora
LDU Quito 1:1 Independent Khuniors
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Leones del Norte
W D W D W
26.07 16:15 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Leones del Norte 1:0 DelfinDelfin
23.07 19:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Leones del Norte 1:1 Guayakil SitiGuayakil Siti
18.07 19:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Leones del Norte 1:0 LDU KitoLDU Kito
15.07 20:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Leones del Norte 1:1 Deportivo KuenkaDeportivo Kuenka
10.07 20:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Leones del Norte 1:0 Universidad Katolika KitoUniversidad Katolika Kito
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points