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Ecuador. Women. Superleague

30.07.2026 18:00 UTC

Not started

Ecuador. Women. Superleague

LDU Quito - Leones del Norte

Football

LDU Quito

- : -

Not started

Leones del Norte

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 LDU Quito — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · LDU Quito): model 33% · market 62% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · LDU Quito58.0%

market62%

X · draw26.2%

market23%

2 · Leones del Norte15.8%

market15%

Model estimate: win LDU Quito 58.0%, draw 26.2%, win Leones del Norte 15.8%. Model favourite — LDU Quito.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leones del Norte (odds1.93) Score 1:2 confidence 52%

• Model backs Leones del Norte: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.93)
• no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU Quito - Leones del Norte July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: LDU Quito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.10 / 2 6.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%

1 62.4%

X 22.7%

2 15.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

LDU Quito 0 : 0 Leones del Norte

11.47

X3.74

26.56

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 18:00 UTC

Match center

LDU Quito - Leones del Norte

Form 1/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

LDU Quito 59.6% 58.0% market and model agree

Draw 26.4% 26.2% draw risk

Leones del Norte 14.0% 15.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 58.0% / 26.2% / 15.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,375 / 1,600 LDU Quito / Leones del Norte

RD 154 / 300 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,067-1,683 / 1,000-2,199 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.15 market consensus · no value · model 15.8%

X 3.93 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 58.0%

Double chance

12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 73.8%

1X 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 84.2%

X2 2.55 market consensus · no value · model 42.0%

Handicap

2 +1 1.92 market consensus · line only

2 0 4.00 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.21 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.73 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.73 57.8%
yes	2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.21 82.6%
1x	1.10 90.9%
x2	2.55 39.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.06 48.5%
X	2.12 47.2%
	6.50 15.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.41 70.9%
Over 1	1.87 53.5%
Under 0.5	2.71 36.9%
Under 1	1.83 54.6%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1, avg 1.5 gls

2026-07-18 · LDU Kito 0:1 Leones del Norte

2026-03-18 · LDU Kito 2:0 Leones del Norte

Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.65 (Winline) · X 3.4 (Winline) · 2 5.2 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Winline	1.65	3.4	5.2
Liga Stavok	1.65	3.4	5.2

Source: ruscore · line comparison

LDU Quito

08.07 23:00 UTC Ecuador: Cup Ekvadora

LDU Quito 1:1 Independent Khuniors

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

Leones del Norte

W D W D W

26.07 16:15 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Leones del Norte 1:0 Delfin

23.07 19:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Leones del Norte 1:1 Guayakil Siti

18.07 19:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Leones del Norte 1:0 LDU Kito

15.07 20:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Leones del Norte 1:1 Deportivo Kuenka

10.07 20:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Leones del Norte 1:0 Universidad Katolika Kito

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.4 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLDU Quito - Leones del Norte

LDU Quito

0 matches total

Leones del Norte

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

LDU Quito - Leones del Norte

AI match prediction LDU Quito - Leones del Norte July 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

LDU Quito - Leones del Norte

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Match history