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Ecuador: Cup Ekvadora
Ecuador: Cup Ekvadora
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Not started

Ecuador: Cup Ekvadora

Universidad Katolika Kito - Vinotinto

Football
Universidad Katolika Kito
Universidad Katolika Kito
- : -
Not started
Vinotinto
Vinotinto

Universidad Katolika Kito face Vinotinto on August 5, 2026 in the Ecuador: Cup Ekvadora.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Universidad Katolika Kito47%

1 · Universidad Katolika Kito46.5%
X · draw20.6%
2 · Vinotinto32.9%

Model estimate: win Universidad Katolika Kito 46.5%, draw 20.6%, win Vinotinto 32.9%. Model favourite — Universidad Katolika Kito.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Universidad Katolika Kito (odds2.65) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Universidad Katolika Kito: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.65)
  • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universidad Katolika Kito - Vinotinto August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 21:32 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 18%
Score2:0 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 1-1
Claude updated03.08.2026 21:36 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 22%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Katolika ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya) ot 1.30

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 55% 27% 18% 2:0 Over 2.5 No
Claude 52% 26% 22% 1:0 Under 3.5 No Double chance 1X (Katolika ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya) ot 1.30

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 20:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Universidad Katolika Kito 54%
📐 Math model Universidad Katolika Kito 47%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Universidad Katolika Kito - Vinotinto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Universidad Katolika Kito - 46.5% model pick
Draw - 20.6% draw risk
Vinotinto - 32.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.5% / 20.6% / 32.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,636 / 1,446 Universidad Katolika Kito / Vinotinto
RD 140 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,356-1,917 / 1,108-1,784 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Universidad Katolika Kito
W D W W W
01.08 21:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Universidad Katolika Kito 5:0 Tekniko Yu.Tekniko Yu.
27.07 19:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Universidad Katolika Kito 0:0 Guayakil SitiGuayakil Siti
21.07 22:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Universidad Katolika Kito 2:1 Barselona GuayakilBarselona Guayakil
18.07 17:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Universidad Katolika Kito 2:0 Deportivo KuenkaDeportivo Kuenka
15.07 20:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Universidad Katolika Kito 1:0 LDU KitoLDU Kito
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Vinotinto
L L W W L
29.07 18:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Vinotinto 0:1 San AntonioSan Antonio
23.07 18:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Vinotinto 0:2 Independent Khuniors
15.07 17:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Vinotinto 2:1 El NasonalEl Nasonal
11.07 18:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Vinotinto 1:0 22 de Julio22 de Julio
01.07 16:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Vinotinto 1:2 GualaseoGualaseo
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points