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Ecuador. Women. Superleague

05.08.2026 20:00 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

05.08.2026 20:00 UTC

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Ecuador. Women. Superleague

Vinotinto - Universidad Catolica Quito

Football

Vinotinto

- : -

Not started

Universidad Catolica Quito

Vinotinto take on Universidad Catolica Quito on August 5, 2026 in the Ecuador. Women. Superleague.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Vinotinto — 48%

Pure model vs market (1 · Vinotinto): model 35% · market 49% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vinotinto48.3%

X · draw27.6%

2 · Universidad Catolica Quito24.1%

Model estimate: win Vinotinto 48.3%, draw 27.6%, win Universidad Catolica Quito 24.1%. Model favourite — Vinotinto.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vinotinto (odds2.65) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Universidad Katolika Kito: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.65)
• edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vinotinto - Universidad Catolica Quito August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Vinotinto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.40 / 2 5.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8% 3 books · best price +199.5%

1 49.2%

X 27.9%

2 23.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vinotinto 1 : 3 Universidad Catolica Quito

14.31

X3.00

21.97

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 21:32 UTC

1 55% ✓ favourite

X 27%

2 18%

Score2:0 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1

Per AI data H2H: 1-1

Claude updated03.08.2026 21:36 UTC

1 52% ✓ favourite

X 26%

2 22%

Score1:0 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Katolika ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya) ot 1.30

AI consensus:1

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	55%	27%	18%	2:0	Over 2.5	No
Claude	52%	26%	22%	1:0	Under 3.5	No	Double chance 1X (Katolika ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya) ot 1.30

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 05.08.2026 20:00 UTC

Market 1 53.4% @ 1.87 / X 29.4% @ 3.40 / 2 17.2% @ 5.80

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Vinotinto 54%

📐 Math model Vinotinto 48%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Vinotinto - Universidad Catolica Quito

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Vinotinto 49.2% 48.3% market and model agree

Draw 27.9% 27.6% draw risk

Universidad Catolica Quito 23.0% 24.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 48.3% / 27.6% / 24.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,446 / 1,636 Vinotinto / Universidad Catolica Quito

RD 169 / 140 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,108-1,784 / 1,356-1,917 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.80 market consensus · no value · model 24.1%

X 3.33 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.04 market consensus · weak value +46.8% · model 48.3%

Double chance

12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 72.4%

1X 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%

X2 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 51.7%

Handicap

2 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.67 market consensus · line only

2 0 3.13 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.13 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.66 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.66 60.2%
yes	2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.26 79.4%	1.30 76.9%
1x	1.18 84.8%	1.11 90.1%
x2	1.77 56.5%	2.16 46.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	6.90 14.5%
X	1.96 51.0%
	2.20 45.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	2.10 47.6%
Under 1	1.65 60.6%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

VinotintoLLWWLLDWWL

Universidad Catolica QuitoWDWWWLLLWW

H2H 1-0-1, avg 4.0 gls

2025-07-19 · Vinotinto 0:3 Universidad Katolika Kito

2025-03-29 · Vinotinto 3:2 Universidad Katolika Kito

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.3 (Winline) · X 3.2 (Winline) · 2 4.3 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	4.1	2.95	1.9
Winline	4.3	3.2	1.83
Fonbet	4.1	2.95	1.9
Betcity	1.95	3	4.3

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Vinotinto

L L W W L

29.07 18:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings

Vinotinto 0:1 San Antonio

23.07 18:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings

Vinotinto 0:2 Independent Khuniors

15.07 17:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings

Vinotinto 2:1 El Nasonal

11.07 18:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings

Vinotinto 1:0 22 de Julio

01.07 16:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Seriya V Standings

Vinotinto 1:2 Gualaseo

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Universidad Catolica Quito

W D W W W

01.08 21:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Universidad Catolica Quito 5:0 Tekniko Yu.

27.07 19:30 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Universidad Catolica Quito 0:0 Guayakil Siti

21.07 22:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Universidad Catolica Quito 2:1 Barselona Guayakil

18.07 17:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Universidad Catolica Quito 2:0 Deportivo Kuenka

15.07 20:00 UTC+0 Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Universidad Catolica Quito 1:0 LDU Kito

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.2 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVinotinto - Universidad Catolica Quito

Vinotinto

0 matches total

Universidad Catolica Quito

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Vinotinto - Universidad Catolica Quito

AI match prediction Vinotinto - Universidad Catolica Quito August 5, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

AI outcome leader: 1

Score prediction

AI predictions

Buy the full AI analysis

Vinotinto - Universidad Catolica Quito

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Match history