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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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Ecuador. Premier League
Aurora U19 - Deportivo Cuenca
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Aurora U19 — 69%
Pure model vs market (1 · Aurora U19): model 60% · market 48% Δ +12 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Aurora U19 69.3%, draw 17.6%, win Deportivo Cuenca 13.1%. Model favourite — Aurora U19.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Aurora U19 (odds1.95)
Score 2:1
confidence 57%
- • Model backs Independente del Vale: probability 57% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aurora U19 - Deportivo Cuenca July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Aurora U19. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.20 / 2 4.10
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 ✓ Pick
48.0%
X
29.2%
2
22.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aurora U19 - Deportivo Cuenca
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Aurora U19
48.0%
69.3%
market and model agree
Draw
29.2%
17.6%
draw risk
Deportivo Cuenca
22.8%
13.1%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
69.3% / 17.6% / 13.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
2,004 / 1,298
Aurora U19 / Deportivo Cuenca
RD
184 / 177
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,635-2,372 / 943-1,653
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.10
market consensus · no value · model 13.1%
X
3.20
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.95
market consensus · value +35.2% · model 69.3%
Double chance
12
1.32
market consensus · value +8.8% · model 82.4%
1X
1.21
market consensus · value +5.1% · model 86.9%
X2
1.80
market consensus · no value · model 30.7%
Handicap
2 0
2.90
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.38
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.20
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% |
| x2 | 1.80 55.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| 2.90 34.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% |
| 4.10 24.4% |
Match center
Aurora U19
W
W
W
W
W
Aurora U19
3:2
Orense
Orense
Aurora U19
3:0
Tekniko Yu.
Tekniko Yu.
Aurora U19
6:1
Emelek
Emelek
Aurora U19
3:0
Aukas
Aukas
Aurora U19
4:0
Manta
Manta
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.8
Scored
0.6
Conceded
15
Points
Deportivo Cuenca
W
D
L
D
L
Deportivo Cuenca
7:0
Emelek
Emelek
Deportivo Cuenca
1:1
Makara
Makara
Deportivo Cuenca
0:2
Universidad Katolika Kito
Universidad Katolika Kito
Deportivo Cuenca
1:1
Leones del Norte
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
Aukas
Aukas
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAurora U19 - Deportivo Cuenca
Aurora U19
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Aurora U19 - Deportivo Cuenca breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form