Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
04.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca

Futbol
Barcelona Guayaquil
Barcelona Guayaquil
2 : 0
Finished
Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Barcelona Guayaquil58%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona Guayaquil.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona Guayaquil. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 3.58 / 2 5.69
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona Guayaquil 58.5% / X 25.5% / Deportivo Cuenca 16.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 58.6%
X 25.4%
2 16.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Liga Pro

Team stats

Barcelona Guayaquil
LDWLWWLWLL
W 4 • D 1 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1.4
5 place, 26 pts
Deportivo Cuenca
DWDWWDDLWD
W 4 • D 5 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 0.7
3 place, 27 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Barcelona Guayaquil 8, draws 2, Deportivo Cuenca 5 (goals 18:13)
  • Deportivo Cuenca — Barcelona SC2026-03-01 2:1
  • Deportivo Cuenca — Barcelona SC2025-09-21 0:1
  • Barcelona SC — Deportivo Cuenca2025-05-24 0:0
  • Deportivo Cuenca — Barcelona SC2024-09-22 1:0
  • Barcelona SC — Deportivo Cuenca2024-04-06 4:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.59 market consensus · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.77 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.45 69.0%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.71 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.20 31.3%
5.90 17.0% 6.01 16.6% 5.75 17.4% 5.90 17.0% 6.00 16.7% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.10 90.9% 1.61 62.1%
yes 5.40 18.5% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1%
x2 2.25 44.4% 2.36 42.4% 8.50 11.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.08 48.1%
X 2.11 47.4%
6.90 14.5%
Match center
Barcelona Guayaquil
L
01.06 22:30 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1 Tekniko Yu.Tekniko Yu.
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points