Ecuador. Premier League
Deportivo Cuenca face Manta FC on August 11, 2026 in the Ecuador. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Deportivo Cuenca 2-1-2, Manta FC 0-1-4. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Deportivo Cuenca — 55%
Pure model vs market (1 · Deportivo Cuenca): model 45% · market 56% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Deportivo Cuenca 55.4%, draw 27.1%, win Manta FC 17.5%. Model favourite — Deportivo Cuenca.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.53 65.4% |
| yes | 2.35 42.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.29 43.7% | |
| X | 1.93 51.8% |
| 6.90 14.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.6 | 3.45 | 6.1 |
| Winline | 1.55 | 3.8 | 6.2 |
| Fonbet | 1.6 | 3.45 | 6.1 |
| Betcity | 1.6 | 3.4 | 6.2 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.54 | 3.7 | 5.8 |
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Cuenca - Manta FC
The Deportivo Cuenca - Manta FC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
