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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
05.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

Delfin - Emelec

Futbol
Delfin
Delfin
1 : 1
Finished
Emelec
Emelec
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Emelec (odds2.84) Score 0:1 (odds7.79) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Emelek: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.90)
  • • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1 (odds 7.79).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Delfin - Emelec July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Emelec.

Line favourite market consensus: Emelec. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 2.84 / 2 2.67
  • 1X2 market: Delfin 33.8% / X 32.1% / Emelec 34.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 33.8%
X 32.1%
2 34.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Liga Pro

Team stats

Delfin
WDLLWLWDLL
W 3 • D 2 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.7 : 1.1
15 place, 16 pts
Emelec
LLWWLDDDWW
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.7 : 0.8
8 place, 22 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Delfin 5, draws 2, Emelec 8 (goals 16:20)
  • Emelec — Delfin2026-03-01 1:1
  • Delfin — Emelec2025-11-30 0:1
  • Emelec — Delfin2025-10-26 1:0
  • Emelec — Delfin2025-06-21 2:2
  • Delfin — Emelec2025-02-22 2:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Delfin 0 : 0 Emelec
12.72
X2.92
22.78

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Referee · coaches · venue

Match information

Head coach
Delfin
Juan Carlos Leon
Head coach
Emelec
Nasuti, Cristian
Referee: Beltran Moreira, Eloy Vicente
Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Delfin - Emelec

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.20 Fonbet · line only
X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.85 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.73 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.45 40.8%
X 3.05 32.8% 2.92 34.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.60 38.5%
2.70 37.0% 2.78 36.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.63 38.0% 2.45 40.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.90 52.6% 1.61 62.1%
yes 1.80 55.6% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 3.85 26.0%
1x 1.37 73.0% 1.42 70.4% 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.37 73.0% 1.42 70.4% 1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.49 28.7%
X 1.85 54.1%
3.66 27.3%
Match center
Emelec
W
31.05 21:10 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Emelec 1:0 Universidad Katolika KitoUniversidad Katolika Kito
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDelfin - Emelec

Delfin
0 matches total
Emelec
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history