Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Emelec face Aucas on August 2, 2026 in the Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Emelec 1-2-2, Aucas 2-0-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Emelec — 44%
Pure model vs market (1 · Emelec): model 52% · market 43% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Emelec 43.5%, draw 29.5%, win Aucas 27.0%. Model favourite — Emelec.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.98 33.6% | |
| X | 1.92 52.1% |
| 4.09 24.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.31 43.3% |
Emelec
Deportivo Kuenka
Mushuk Runa
Independente del Vale
Orense
Barselona Guayakil
Aucas
Makara
Orense
Tekniko Yu.
Independente del Vale
Deportivo Kuenka
Full head-to-head historyEmelec - Aucas
The Emelec - Aucas breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
