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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
31.05.2026 21:10 UTC Match prediction
31.05.2026 21:10 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

Emelec - Universidad Catolica Quito

Football
Emelec
Emelec
1 : 0
Finished
Universidad Catolica Quito
Universidad Catolica Quito

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Emelec - Universidad Catolica Quito May 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Emelec. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 1.35 / 2 5.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 89.0%
1 51.4%
X 39.2%
2 9.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.05.2026 21:10 UTC
Match center

Emelec - Universidad Catolica Quito

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 Fonbet · line only
X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.13 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.10 90.9%
yes 5.30 18.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.90 34.5%
1x 1.13 88.5%
x2 7.60 13.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
2.10 47.6%
9.50 10.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.90 52.6%
11.50 8.7%
9.50 10.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.65 60.6%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3 3.70 27.0%
Over 3.5 12.00 8.3%
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 3 1.22 82.0%
Under 3.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%