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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
11.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

Guayaquil City - Delfin

Futbol
Guayaquil City
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
Finished
Delfin
Delfin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Guayaquil City - Delfin July 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Guayaquil City.

Line favourite market consensus: Guayaquil City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 2.82 / 2 3.03
  • 1X2 market: Guayaquil City 37.5% / X 32.4% / Delfin 30.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 37.5%
X 32.4%
2 30.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro
League table
Guayaquil City
#1122 ptsGP 186-4-816:21
WLLDL
Delfin
#1517 ptsGP 184-5-910:18
LDLLD
Best price across 14 books
1 2.56 Pinnacle
X 2.98 10Bet
2 3.30 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Guayaquil City
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.21 xG 0.94 xGA 1.44 Corners 2.4
Delfin
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.20 xG 0.87 xGA 1.36 Corners 2.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Guayaquil City
Rating 1482 xG 1.09 Win 38%
Delfin
Rating 1469 xG 0.99 Win 32%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Guayaquil City 1 : 1 Delfin
12.51
X2.84
23.14

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:6/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek

Google AI updated11.07.2026 21:31 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 30%
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:1
ChatGPT updated10.07.2026 21:50 UTC
1 39% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 28%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-2
Claude updated11.07.2026 23:28 UTC
1 37% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 30%
Bet:1
Qwen updated10.07.2026 21:49 UTC
1 35% ✓ favourite
X 35%
2 30%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-1
Kimi updated10.07.2026 21:53 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 30%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X + Under 2.5
GLM 5.2 updated10.07.2026 21:54 UTC
1 40% ✓ favourite
X 35%
2 25%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 38% 33% 30% 0:0 Under 2.5 — 1
ChatGPT 39% 33% 28% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X
Claude 37% 33% 30% — — — 1
Qwen 35% 35% 30% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5
Kimi 38% 32% 30% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X + Under 2.5
GLM 5.2 40% 35% 25% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 21:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Guayaquil City 38%
💹 Market Guayaquil City 3752%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Guayaquil City - Delfin

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.03 market consensus · line only
X 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.46 40.7% 2.53 39.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.00 33.3% 2.81 35.6% 2.88 34.7% 2.87 34.8% 2.88 34.7% 2.60 38.5%
3.00 33.3% 3.13 32.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.15 31.8% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.85 54.1% 1.62 61.7%
yes 1.85 54.1% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.37 73.0% 1.42 70.4% 4.40 22.7%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.43 69.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.06 94.3%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.25 16.0%
0_1 5.75 17.4%
0_2 11.00 9.1%
0_3 29.00 3.5%
0_4 81.00 1.2%
1_0 5.00 20.0%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 26.00 3.9%
1_4 76.00 1.3%
2_0 8.50 11.8%
2_1 8.50 11.8%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 41.00 2.4%
2_4 101.00 1.0%
3_0 21.00 4.8%
3_1 21.00 4.8%
3_2 34.00 2.9%
Match center
Guayaquil City
L
07.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Guayaquil City 0:1 AukasAukas
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Delfin
D
05.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin 1:1 EmelekEmelek
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGuayaquil City - Delfin

Guayaquil City
0 matches total
Delfin
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history