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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
02.08.2026 00:00 UTC
02.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

Ecuador. Premier League

LDU de Quito - Delfin SC

Football
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
- : -
Not started
Delfin SC
Delfin SC

LDU de Quito go head-to-head with Delfin SC on August 2, 2026 in the Ecuador. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): LDU de Quito 0-2-3, Delfin SC 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 LDU de Quito — 47%

1 · LDU de Quito46.7%
X · draw23.8%
2 · Delfin SC29.5%

Model estimate: win LDU de Quito 46.7%, draw 23.8%, win Delfin SC 29.5%. Model favourite — LDU de Quito.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1LDU de Quito (odds1.28) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs LDU Kito: probability 50% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-28 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU de Quito - Delfin SC August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: LDU de Quito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 4.90 / 2 10.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 72.3%
X 18.9%
2 8.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro
League table
LDU de Quito
#632 ptsGP 229-5-821:17
Delfin SC
#1523 ptsGP 226-5-1113:21
Best price across 12 books
1 1.32 Unibet
X 5.39 1xBet
2 12.60 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
LDU de Quito
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.09 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.63 xGA 0.95 Corners 6.7
Delfin SC
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.49 xG 0.92 xGA 1.21 Corners 3.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
LDU de Quito
Rating 1569 xG 1.80 Win 63%
Delfin SC
Rating 1460 xG 0.74 Win 15%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 72.3% @ 1.28 / X 18.9% @ 4.90 / 2 8.8% @ 10.50
Match center

LDU de Quito - Delfin SC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
LDU de Quito 72.3% 46.7% market and model agree
Draw 18.9% 23.8% draw risk
Delfin SC 8.8% 29.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.7% / 23.8% / 29.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,398 / 1,466 LDU Quito / Delfin
RD 145 / 161 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,108-1,689 / 1,145-1,787 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 4.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 46.7%
Double chance
12 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 76.2%
1X 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 70.5%
X2 3.30 market consensus · weak value +75.8% · model 53.3%
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.30 30.3%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.88 53.2%
1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 2.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.28 78.1%
X 4.90 20.4%
10.50 9.5%
Match center
LDU de Quito
L D L L D
26.07 22:15 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 0:2 Barselona GuayakilBarselona Guayakil
22.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 1:1 MantaManta
18.07 19:30 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 0:1 Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
15.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 0:1 Universidad Katolika KitoUniversidad Katolika Kito
12.07 15:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 0:0 LibertadLibertad
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Delfin SC
L L W W L
26.07 16:15 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 0:1 Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
21.07 19:30 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 0:1 LibertadLibertad
17.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 2:1 MakaraMakara
14.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 1:0 MantaManta
11.07 21:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 1:2 Guayakil SitiGuayakil Siti
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLDU de Quito - Delfin SC

LDU de Quito
0 matches total
Delfin SC
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history