Ecuador. Premier League
LDU de Quito - Delfin SC
LDU de Quito meet Delfin SC on August 4, 2026 in the Ecuador. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): LDU de Quito 0-2-3, Delfin SC 2-0-3. The bookmaker line makes LDU de Quito the favourite at about 72%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 LDU de Quito — 70%
Pure model vs market (1 · LDU de Quito): model 39% · market 72% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win LDU de Quito 70.3%, draw 19.6%, win Delfin SC 10.1%. Model favourite — LDU de Quito.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs LDU Kito: probability 50% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
- • no edge over the line (-28 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction LDU de Quito - Delfin SC August 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LDU de Quito.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 4.82 / 2 10.77
- 1X2 market: LDU de Quito 72.3% / X 19.1% / Delfin SC 8.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga ProHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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LDU de Quito - Delfin SC
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | |
| X | 4.60 21.7% | 5.05 19.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.40 18.5% | 4.75 21.1% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 14.50 6.9% | 11.40 8.8% | 11.00 9.1% | 13.50 7.4% | 10.50 9.5% | 8.00 12.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.57 63.7% |
| yes | 2.25 44.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.01 99.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 3.05 32.8% | 3.10 32.3% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_1 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_2 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_3 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 1_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_2 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 1_3 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 2_3 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 3_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 3_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 3_3 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 4_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 4_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
LDU de Quito
Barselona Guayakil
Manta
Leones del Norte
Universidad Katolika Kito
Libertad
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Makara
Manta
Guayakil Siti
Full head-to-head historyLDU de Quito - Delfin SC
Match history
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The LDU de Quito - Delfin SC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form