Ecuador. Premier League
LDU de Quito - Delfin SC
LDU de Quito go head-to-head with Delfin SC on August 3, 2026 in the Ecuador. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): LDU de Quito 0-2-3, Delfin SC 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 LDU de Quito — 47%
Model estimate: win LDU de Quito 46.9%, draw 23.5%, win Delfin SC 29.6%. Model favourite — LDU de Quito.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs LDU Kito: probability 50% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
- • no edge over the line (-28 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction LDU de Quito - Delfin SC August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.00 / 2 11.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga ProHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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LDU de Quito - Delfin SC
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.46 68.5% |
| yes | 2.53 39.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 3.35 29.9% | 3.50 28.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.68 59.5% | |
| X | 2.39 41.8% |
| 11.20 8.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.66 37.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
LDU de Quito
Barselona Guayakil
Manta
Leones del Norte
Universidad Katolika Kito
Libertad
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Makara
Manta
Guayakil Siti
Full head-to-head historyLDU de Quito - Delfin SC
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The LDU de Quito - Delfin SC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form