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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

Ecuador. Premier League

LDU de Quito - Delfin SC

Football
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
- : -
Not started
Delfin SC
Delfin SC

LDU de Quito meet Delfin SC on August 4, 2026 in the Ecuador. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): LDU de Quito 0-2-3, Delfin SC 2-0-3. The bookmaker line makes LDU de Quito the favourite at about 73%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 LDU de Quito71%

Pure model vs market (1 · LDU de Quito): model 39% · market 73% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · LDU de Quito ✓ Pick70.6%
market73%
X · draw19.3%
market19%
2 · Delfin SC10.1%
market9%

Model estimate: win LDU de Quito 70.6%, draw 19.3%, win Delfin SC 10.1%. Model favourite — LDU de Quito.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1LDU de Quito (odds1.28) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs LDU Kito: probability 50% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • no edge over the line (-28 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU de Quito - Delfin SC August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LDU de Quito.

Line favourite market consensus: LDU de Quito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 4.87 / 2 10.61
  • 1X2 market: LDU de Quito 72.5% / X 18.8% / Delfin SC 8.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 16 books · best price +3.2%
1 ✓ Pick 72.7%
X 18.7%
2 8.6%

Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro
League table
LDU de Quito
#632 ptsGP 229-5-821:17
Delfin SC
#1523 ptsGP 226-5-1113:21
Best price across 14 books
1 1.30 Betano
X 5.40 Betano
2 14.50 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
LDU de Quito
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.09 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.63 xGA 0.95 Corners 6.7
Delfin SC
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.49 xG 0.92 xGA 1.21 Corners 3.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
LDU de Quito
Rating 1569 xG 1.80 Win 63%
Delfin SC
Rating 1460 xG 0.74 Win 15%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

LDU de Quito 2 : 0 Delfin SC
11.28
X5.05
211.40

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 72.8% @ 1.25 / X 18.7% @ 4.87 / 2 8.6% @ 10.61
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model LDU de Quito 71%
💹 Market LDU de Quito 7253%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

LDU de Quito - Delfin SC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
LDU de Quito 72.7% 70.6% market and model agree
Draw 18.7% 19.3% draw risk
Delfin SC 8.6% 10.1%
xG - 1.83 : 0.73

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 70.6% / 19.3% / 10.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,399 / 1,464 LDU Quito / Delfin
RD 145 / 160 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,109-1,689 / 1,143-1,784 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.11 market consensus · no value · model 10.1%
X 4.85 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 70.6%
Double chance
12 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 80.7%
1X 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 89.9%
X2 3.08 market consensus · no value · model 29.4%
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.49 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
X 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.00 25.0%
12.50 8.0% 12.30 8.1% 11.00 9.1% 11.75 8.5% 10.50 9.5% 8.50 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.49 67.1%
yes 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 9.50 10.5%
0_1 19.00 5.3%
0_2 56.00 1.8%
0_3 126.00 0.8%
1_0 5.00 20.0%
1_1 8.00 12.5%
1_2 26.00 3.9%
1_3 91.00 1.1%
2_0 4.75 21.1%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 21.00 4.8%
2_3 76.00 1.3%
3_0 6.25 16.0%
3_1 9.50 10.5%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
3_3 91.00 1.1%
4_0 11.00 9.1%
4_1 15.00 6.7%
Match center
LDU de Quito
L D L L D
26.07 22:15 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 0:2 Barselona GuayakilBarselona Guayakil
22.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 1:1 MantaManta
18.07 19:30 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 0:1 Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
15.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 0:1 Universidad Katolika KitoUniversidad Katolika Kito
12.07 15:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU de Quito 0:0 LibertadLibertad
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Delfin SC
L L W W L
26.07 16:15 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 0:1 Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
21.07 19:30 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 0:1 LibertadLibertad
17.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 2:1 MakaraMakara
14.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 1:0 MantaManta
11.07 21:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Delfin SC 1:2 Guayakil SitiGuayakil Siti
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLDU de Quito - Delfin SC

LDU de Quito
0 matches total
Delfin SC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history