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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
18.07.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction
18.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

LDU Kito - Leones del Norte

Football
LDU Kito
LDU Kito
0 : 1
Finished
Leones del Norte
Leones del Norte

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU Kito - Leones del Norte July 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LDU Kito.

Line favourite market consensus: LDU Kito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.05 / 2 6.48
  • 1X2 market: LDU Kito 63.3% / X 22.5% / Leones del Norte 14.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 63.4%
X 22.5%
2 14.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro
League table
LDU Kito
#628 ptsGP 208-4-819:16
LLDLW
Leones del Norte
#827 ptsGP 207-6-721:20
WDWWD
Best price across 13 books
1 1.47 Betano
X 4.53 Pinnacle
2 8.30 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
LDU Kito
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.65 xGA 0.96 Corners 6.2
Leones del Norte
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.00 xGA 1.24 Corners 4.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
LDU Kito
Rating 1570
Leones del Norte
Rating 1520

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

LDU Kito 1 : 0 Leones del Norte
11.48
X4.26
26.38

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen

Google AI updated18.07.2026 20:44 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 16%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Total menshe 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2:0
Claude updated18.07.2026 20:46 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
X 25%
2 15%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X
Per AI data H2H: 0-2
Kimi updated18.07.2026 20:48 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1 + Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-2
GLM 5.2 updated18.07.2026 20:50 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 15%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 58% 26% 16% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Total menshe 2.5
Claude 60% 25% 15% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X
Kimi 52% 28% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No
GLM 5.2 55% 30% 15% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 19:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models LDU Kito 56%
💹 Market LDU Kito 6331%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

LDU Kito - Leones del Norte

Form 4/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.10 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.43 69.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.05 24.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.40 29.4%
8.00 12.5% 6.12 16.3% 6.50 15.4% 6.60 15.2% 6.50 15.4% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.22 82.0% 1.66 60.2%
yes 3.65 27.4% 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 6.10 16.4%
x2 2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.50 11.8%
0_1 13.00 7.7%
0_2 34.00 2.9%
0_3 101.00 1.0%
1_0 5.00 20.0%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_2 19.00 5.3%
1_3 61.00 1.6%
2_0 5.25 19.1%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 56.00 1.8%
3_0 8.00 12.5%
3_1 10.00 10.0%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
3_3 71.00 1.4%
4_0 15.00 6.7%
4_1 19.00 5.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1, avg 1.5 gls
2026-07-18 · LDU Kito 0:1 Leones del Norte
2026-03-18 · LDU Kito 2:0 Leones del Norte
Source: ruscore

Match stats

3 Cards total 2
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
LDU Kito
L D L W
15.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU Kito 0:1 Universidad Katolika KitoUniversidad Katolika Kito
12.07 15:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU Kito 0:0 LibertadLibertad
05.07 16:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU Kito 0:1 MakaraMakara
01.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU Kito 3:0 OrenseOrense
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points