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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
12.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

LDU Quito - Libertad Loja

Futbol
LDU Quito
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Finished
Libertad Loja
Libertad Loja

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU Quito - Libertad Loja July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LDU Quito.

Line favourite market consensus: LDU Quito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 5.26 / 2 9.71
  • 1X2 market: LDU Quito 72.8% / X 17.5% / Libertad Loja 9.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 73.2%
X 17.4%
2 9.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro
League table
LDU Quito
#428 ptsGP 188-4-619:14
DLWDW
Libertad Loja
#1418 ptsGP 184-6-817:25
DLLWL
Best price across 14 books
1 1.36 Superbet
X 6.40 Betano
2 13.50 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
LDU Quito
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.20 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.49 xGA 1.05 Corners 6.0
Libertad Loja
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.02 xGA 1.62 Corners 3.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
LDU Quito
Rating 1597 xG 2.00 Win 68%
Libertad Loja
Rating 1467 xG 0.70 Win 12%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

LDU Quito 3 : 1 Libertad Loja
11.17
X7.09
214.50

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 16:03 UTC
1 69% ✓ favourite
X 19%
2 11%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 Bet:Win LDU Kito (1) or Total bolshe 2.5 golov.
Claude updated11.07.2026 16:30 UTC
1 69% ✓ favourite
X 19%
2 11%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 69% 19% 11% 2:1 Over 2.5 — Win LDU Kito (1) or Total bolshe 2.5 golov.
Claude 69% 19% 11% — — — 1

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models LDU Quito 69%
💹 Market LDU Quito 7284%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

LDU Quito - Libertad Loja

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.89 market consensus · line only
X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.27 78.7% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
X 5.10 19.6% 5.91 16.9% 5.75 17.4% 5.90 17.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.20 23.8%
11.50 8.7% 11.30 8.9% 10.00 10.0% 11.00 9.1% 10.00 10.0% 7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.60 62.5%
yes 11.50 8.7% 2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 4.60 21.7%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 1.11 90.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 21.00 4.8%
0_2 51.00 2.0%
0_3 126.00 0.8%
1_0 6.00 16.7%
1_1 9.00 11.1%
1_2 23.00 4.4%
1_3 71.00 1.4%
2_0 5.50 18.2%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 19.00 5.3%
2_3 61.00 1.6%
3_0 6.50 15.4%
3_1 8.50 11.8%
3_2 21.00 4.8%
3_3 67.00 1.5%
4_0 11.00 9.1%
4_1 13.00 7.7%
Match center
LDU Quito
L W
05.07 16:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU Quito 0:1 MakaraMakara
01.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
LDU Quito 3:0 OrenseOrense
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Libertad Loja
L
04.07 17:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Libertad Loja 1:3 Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLDU Quito - Libertad Loja

LDU Quito
0 matches total
Libertad Loja
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history