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31.07.2026 21:10 UTC
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31.07.2026 21:10 UTC
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Ecuador. Premier League
Leones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Leones del Norte — 52%
Model estimate: win Leones del Norte 52.1%, draw 21.8%, win Barcelona Guayaquil 26.0%. Model favourite — Leones del Norte.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Leones del Norte (odds2.37)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Leones del Norte: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Match center
Leones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Leones del Norte
-
52.1%
model pick
Draw
-
21.8%
draw risk
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
26.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
52.1% / 21.8% / 26.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,600 / 1,568
Leones del Norte / Barcelona Guayaquil
RD
300 / 163
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,000-2,199 / 1,242-1,893
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Match center
Leones del Norte
W
D
W
D
W
Leones del Norte
1:0
Delfin
Delfin
Leones del Norte
1:1
Guayakil Siti
Guayakil Siti
Leones del Norte
1:0
LDU Kito
LDU Kito
Leones del Norte
1:1
Deportivo Kuenka
Deportivo Kuenka
Leones del Norte
1:0
Universidad Katolika Kito
Universidad Katolika Kito
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.4
Conceded
11
Points
Barcelona Guayaquil
W
L
W
D
D
Barcelona Guayaquil
2:0
LDU Kito
LDU Kito
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:2
Universidad Katolika Kito
Universidad Katolika Kito
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:0
Libertad
Libertad
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:1
Guayakil Siti
Guayakil Siti
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:0
Emelek
Emelek
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.6
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLeones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil
Leones del Norte
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form