Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Ecuador. Premier League
Macara - LDU Quito
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Macara - LDU Quito July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Macara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 4.05 / 2 2.34
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 65.5%
1
59.3%
X
14.9%
2
25.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Liga Pro
Team stats
Macara
WLDWLDLDDW
W 3 • D 4 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 1
11 place, 20 pts
LDU Quito
LLWLWWWDWW
W 6 • D 1 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.9
3 place, 27 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Macara 4, draws 3, LDU Quito 8 (goals 19:27)
- LDU — Macara2026-03-01 0:2
- LDU — Macara2025-08-30 1:1
- Macara — LDU2025-05-10 0:1
- Macara — LDU2024-08-04 0:4
- LDU — Macara2024-03-05 2:1
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Referee · coaches · venue
Match information
Head coach
Macara
Sanguinetti, Guillermo
Head coach
LDU Quito
Nunes, Tiago
Referee: Loayza, Bryan
Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)
Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Macara
No recent matches
LDU Quito
Well rested- Rest days: 4
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Macara | LDU Quito | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 20% | — |
| Average total | 1.8 | — |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | 40% | — |
| Matches counted | 5 | — |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Macara - LDU Quito
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.21
market consensus · line only
X
4.05
Fonbet · line only
1
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.20
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X2
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.31
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.38
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
4.20
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.53
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.59
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.30
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.30 76.9% | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 3.10 32.3% | 1.99 50.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.59 62.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 8.00 12.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.83 26.1% | |
| X | 1.89 52.9% |
| 3.24 30.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.47 68.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.39 41.8% |
Match center
Macara
D
Macara
1:1
Leones del Norte
Leones del Norte
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
LDU Quito
W
LDU Quito
3:0
Orense
Orense
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMacara - LDU Quito
Macara
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals