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Ecuador. Premier League

31.07.2026 18:30 UTC

Not started

Ecuador. Premier League

Macara - Guayaquil City FC

Football

Macara

- : -

Not started

Guayaquil City FC

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Macara — 62%

1 · Macara ✓ Pick61.6%

X · draw19.9%

2 · Guayaquil City FC18.5%

Model estimate: win Macara 61.6%, draw 19.9%, win Guayaquil City FC 18.5%. Model favourite — Macara.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Macara (odds2.00) Score 2:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Makara: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
• no edge over the line (+0 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Macara - Guayaquil City FC July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro

League table

Macara

#335 ptsGP 2210-5-728:22

ARRAY

Guayaquil City FC

#928 ptsGP 227-7-819:23

ARRAY

Best price across 9 books

1 1.68 Unibet

X 3.61 1xBet

2 5.60 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Macara

W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.51 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.07 xGA 1.16 Corners 4.0

Guayaquil City FC

W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.19 xG 0.94 xGA 1.41 Corners 3.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Macara

Rating 1581 xG 1.45 Win 51%

Guayaquil City FC

Rating 1505 xG 0.84 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 18:30 UTC

Match center

Macara - Guayaquil City FC

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Macara - 61.6% model pick

Draw - 19.9% draw risk

Guayaquil City FC - 18.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 61.6% / 19.9% / 18.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,685 / 1,533 Macara / Univ Huelva

RD 141 / 164 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,403-1,967 / 1,206-1,860 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center

Macara

W D L W W

26.07 16:15 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Macara 4:1 Aukas