Ecuador. Premier League
Macara take on Guayaquil City FC on August 1, 2026 in the Ecuador. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Macara 3-1-1, Guayaquil City FC 2-3-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Macara — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · Macara): model 49% · market 61% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Macara 61.6%, draw 19.9%, win Guayaquil City FC 18.5%. Model favourite — Macara.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 2.23 44.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.07 93.5% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.36 42.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.08 48.1% | |
| X | 2.10 47.6% |
| 7.00 14.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.51 39.8% |
Macara
Aukas
Deportivo Kuenka
Delfin
Mushuk Runa
Tekniko Yu.
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Katolika Kito
Leones del Norte
Manta
Barselona Guayakil
Delfin
Full head-to-head historyMacara - Guayaquil City FC
The Macara - Guayaquil City FC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
